GADAFI CONTRA LOS "REBELDES"

Top of the Agenda: Libya Sliding to Civil War PREVISIBLE Y PREVISTO The regime of Libyan autocrat Muammar al-Qaddafi stepped up its counteroffensive against rebel forces in the country's east and west, battering the oil port of Ras Lanuf with renewed airstrikes (NYT) and continuing ground assaults on Zawiyah and other cities closer to Tripoli. The counterattack comes amid mixed reports regarding attempts by Qaddafi to negotiate a stand down (al-Jazeera) and safe passage from Libya for him and his family. Libyan state television denied these accounts. ¿A QUIÉN CREER? NO A LA FUENTE OFICIAL! SUPONGO QUE GADAFI, ZORRO VIEJO, NEGOCIÓ PERO GARANTIZÁNDOSE EL SECRETO. According to the BBC, opposition leaders expressed no interest in negotiations without a ceasefire, DESDE LUEGO: EL CEASEFIRE DEBE SER SIEMPRE LA CONDICIÓN PREVIA, TANTO MÁS TRATÁNDOSE DE UN TRAMPOSO COMO EL DÉSPOTA and they say Qaddafi is attempting to divide the rebellion with such gestures. Rebels continue to press the international community to institute a no-fly zone (CBS) and neutralize a major tactical advantage of the regime. There are some signs of momentum building for such a move, including an endorsement from the Gulf Cooperation Council (National) and a meeting of NATO military planners (Guardian) to discuss the options for a no-fly zone. However, leading members of the Obama administration remain divided over the issue. Analysis: In the Wall Street Journal, CFR President Richard N. Haass says a no-fly zone would prove ineffective in Libya ¿POR QUÉ? and that "intervening militarily in Libya would be a potentially costly distraction" ESO SÍ for a U.S. military already overextended in Iraq and Afghanistan. QUE SIGUEN ABRUMANDO A OBAMA Y A HILLARY This article from the Brookings Institution says that the same countries experiencing pro-democracy protests and rebellions in the Middle East have also seen development successes in recent years. This CFR issue guide provides a range of background and analysis on the protests in theMiddle East and North Africa. In the New Yorker, Wendell Steavenson notes that Qaddafi's defiance is a reminder that revolutions can be bloody and uncertain, and that what comes later is even harder to divine. DE DONDE SE INFIERE LO QUE YA ESTÁ PASANDO: PARA EVITAR IMPREVISTOS, NO HAGAMOS NADA. EXCESIVA OMISIÓN QUE NO PODRÁ MANTENERSE LARGO TIEMPO Y QUE ACARREARÁ SITUACIONES TODAVÍA PEORES Background: This CFR Report says the United States must improve its responsiveness to mass atrocities and, absent action by the UN, O SEA: SUPLETORIAMENTE make clear its willingness to act unilaterally. Multimedia: In this video from the TED2011, Wadah Khanfar, the head of al-Jazeera, shares an optimistic view of what's happening in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, and beyond as the democratic revolution led by tech-empowered young people sweeps the Arab world. In this NPR podcast, participants discuss the language that media outlets use to describe the events in Libya: How did "protestors" suddenly became "rebels" and why? And how does the word "rebel" change the way readers perceive the conflict there? This photo essay from the Diplomat asks if the unrest in the Arab world could travel further still, leading Asia analysts give their take on the prospects for a Jasmine Revolution in seven Asian nations.