lunes, 14 de noviembre de 2011

Y AHORA, MONTI


Top of the Agenda: Monti takes the Helm as Italy's New PM
Following the resignation of Italy's longtime leader Silvio Berlusconi, Italian President Giorgio Napolitano asked economist and former European Union commissioner Mario Monti to form a new government. Monti's technocratic cabinet (Guardian) will be tasked with implementing strict austerity measures considered necessary to avoid further sovereign debt contagion to the eurozone's third largest economy.  ABRUMADOR LEGADO, EL DE BERLUSCONI Y LOS SUYOS.
Italy's major political parties indicated they would back Monti's new government, which will be comprised mainly of technical experts (NYT) rather than politicians. Both houses of the Italian parliament are expected to approve the new cabinet within the next few days.
Berlusconi was forced to offer his resignation last week after investors lost confidence in his government's ability to pass stalled budgetary measures needed to rein in the country's staggering public debt--120 percent of GDP--sending yields on ten-year government bonds above 7 percent. Monti will have the difficult task of cutting that debt, while maintaining a semblance of growth (WSJ) in order to pay it down.
Analysis
There has been a widespread sigh of relief TIEMERLPO AL TIEMPO: HABRÁ QUE VER QUÉ HACEN BERLUSCONI Y LOS SUYOS Y QUÉ CAPACIDADES TIENEN LOS PARTIDOS  QUE NO  SUPIERON AVANZAR EL CAMBIO DE GO BIERNO in both Italy and the world's financial capitals now that Berlusconi has resigned. But Monti faces a steep uphill battle, and many are concerned that he won't last long in a country full of political pitfalls, says Der Spiegel. 
The Berlusconi era has come to an end, NO PUEDE AFIRMARSE TODAVÍA and Mario Monti's transitional government must quickly restore confidence in Italy to save itself and the eurozone. There is no time for political games, SIEMPRE HAY TIEMPO, TRATÁNDOSE DE BERLUSCONI Y SUS CÓMPLICES  writes Deutsche Welle's Bernd Riegert.
The dispatch of elected, if flawed, prime ministers in Greece and Italy--and their replacement by supposed economic experts--is viewed as an affirmation that these nations mean business, says this Guardian editorial.

MIDDLE EAST
Arab League Moves to Suspend Syria
The Arab League said it will suspend Syria's membership in the organization CUÁNDO? NO ALCANZA CON UN "IF": if the regime of Bashar al-Assad does not end  CUÁNDO? HARÍA FALTA, AQUÍ SÍ, UN ULTIMATUM its violent crackdown (NYT) against the opposition movement. The move prompted thousands of pro-Assad Syrians to attack  COMO ERA PREVISIBLE the embassies of Turkey, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and France.
Meanwhile, Jordan's King Abdullah called on Assad to step down (BBC). The United Nations estimates that over thirty-five hundred people have been killed since anti-government uprisings bean in March.
Founded as a loose confederation of states in 1945, the Arab League has struggled to overcome dysfunction and disunity among its members. The Arab revolts of 2011 offer the League a new opportunity to pursue necessary reforms, increase legitimacy, and prove its relevance, explains this CFR Backgrounder.

PACIFIC RIM
Obama Calls for Greater U.S. Role in Pacific
Hosting the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Honolulu this weekend, U.S. President Barack Obama said the United States is a dominant "Pacific power" (WSJ), as he urged China--the main U.S. rival in the region--to reform its currency and trade policies.
On the sidelines of APEC, the United States and eight other countries agreed to an outline of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (IBT), a multilateral free trade agreement that would eliminate tariffs for members. Japan, Mexico, and Canada also expressed interest in joining the negotiations.
The Asia-Pacific partnership will become the key global economic driver, says Simon Tay, chairman of the Singapore Institute of International Affairs, in this CFR interview.

SOUTH AND CENTRAL ASIA
Climate Conference Begins in Bangladesh
The eighteen-nation Climate Vulnerable Forum (al-Jazeera) commenced in Dhaka, Bangladesh, for countries must vulnerable to climate change. The group is expected to issue a declaration calling for action by industrialized nations at next month's UN summit in Durban.
This component of CFR's Global Governance Monitor offers a broad look at international efforts to combat climate change.
INDIA: Meeting in New Delhi, Indian and Pakistani officials began two days of talks on expanding trade ties (AFP) between the neighbors, just weeks after Pakistan granted India Most Favored Nation status.

AFRICA
Sudan's Rebels Form New Alliance
Three rebel groups with ties to newly independent South Sudan, which operate in Sudan's southern border states, have formed an alliance called the Sudanese Revolutionary Front (GlobalPost) aimed at overthrowing Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir.
EQUITORIAL GUINEA: Voters are set to approve President Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo's proposed constitutional changes (Reuters) that he says would advance democracy, even as human rights groups warned that the measures would enable the longtime leader to tighten his grip on power. ES LO MÁS PROBABLE

AMERICAS
Brazilian Forces Invade Rio Slum
Three thousand Brazilian police officers and soldiers occupied Rio De Janeiro's Rocinha slum in an effort to peacefully pacify (NYT) an area marred by drug violence and lawlessness ahead of the 2014 World Cup and 2016 Olympics.
UNITED STATES: Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney criticized President Barack Obama over his administration's Iran policy (CBS). Romney said if Obama were reelected, Iran would obtain a nuclear weapon, while it would not if Romney were president.
The UN nuclear agency's latest report contains no "gotcha" disclosures about Iran's nuclear capability but creates a clear impression of a weapons program in the works, says expert Mark Hibbs in this CFR Interview.

EUROPE
Germany Arrests Far-Right Terror Suspect
German officials arrested a woman suspected of founding a far-right, neo-Nazi organization (DerSpiegel)  known as the National Socialist Underground. The group is accused of killing at least nine immigrants and a police officer. SUPONGO QUE NO ES EL ÚNICO GRUPO, NI EN ALEMANIA NI EN PAÍSES VECINOS


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